Weekly Conflict Update — January 15–21, 2026

Key Events

• On January 14, joint KIA/PDF forces captured a base camp at the entrance to the Military Commission’s Bhamo-based logistics unit (Hta Pa Ya 933), resulting in 20 soldiers surrendering.
• Resistance forces seized two strategic positions on January 15 and 17: the Kantalu toll gate on the Monywa-Mandalay road in Sagaing and a military camp near Pazi village in Ngaphe Township.
• The Military Commission summoned Timor-Leste’s Acting Charge d’Affaires on January 16 to formally object to President Jose Ramos Horta’s meeting with the Chin Human Rights Organization.
• On January 20, the Malaysian Foreign Minister reaffirmed that ASEAN does not recognize the military junta’s phased election results, despite some individual member states sending independent observers.
• Rakhine State recorded the highest civilian death toll this week with 26 fatalities, primarily resulting from military artillery and aerial attacks.